Sunday, January 12, 2020

Haiti earthquake 10 years commemoration

January 12, 2010 was the devastating Haiti earthquake. Many are posting memories and thoughts about the event. Many others have higher quality scientific, engineering, and social science materials. I did not work on it directly but I developed a few slides for various lectures which referred to the event.

I recall a moving lecture on the event by Eduardo Fierro who had been there for post earthquake response. The video may still be accessible (I am struggling to see it here, but the PDF is available): PEER website. He made a strong point about what really caused the disaster: "The tragedy of this thing, you know, was that three days after the earthquake the city was littered with bodies and by God, we… this was not an earthquake disaster. This was a disaster caused by the construction industry in Haiti. The construction industry that did not know how to use codes, they did not have any codes, and the people that built these things, the building in very bad shape. These were the people that caused this tragedy and the loss of human life. In the past I have told people when I give talks: We have to design things and construct things and assume that our children, our grandchildren and our mother is going to be in this building when the earthquake hits. So we check all our numbers and do a proper design ." 01/26/2010, by Eduardo Fierro

I also was surprised by some of the news discussions about the relative magnitudes of the 2010 Haiti and Chilean earthquakes. The latter occured about 6 weeks after the Haiti event and was much larger. Some news reports talked about how the M8.8 Chile earthquake was 500x larger while others said 64x. Which was it? I set this up as a little exercise for my class

Here are all of the slides: PDF PPT

Saturday, January 4, 2020

Propelling ASU's School of Earth and Space Exploration

In May 2019, my colleague Prof. Meenakshi Wadhwa was appointed the Director of ASU's School of Earth and Space Exploration. This is a really good thing for SESE given Mini's many strengths and achievements and SESE's great potential in Earth and Space Sciences. I have continued my role as Deputy Director for SESE (I had done the same for our former Director Lindy Elkins-Tanton). It has been an honor to work for both Lindy and Mini. They are inspiring and effective leaders.

I too applied to be the Director and am very happy that Mini is the director. I put some energy into my application materials thinking about SESE and my own leadership experience and vision, so I have decided to post them here. If nothing else, it will help me find them quicker as I tend to refer to them occasionally.

  • Curriculum Vitae as of February 8, 2019: LINK
  • A Vision for the School of Earth and Space Exploration
  • Presentation PPT PDF -- this was not so great in that I got sick on the second day of the interview and so it was delivered in a hoarse whisper! It was a sign probably that I could not hack it (the job that is; it was a stressful time).

Monday, December 16, 2019

Call for research papers: Unveiling Active Faults: Multiscale Perspectives and Alternative Approaches Addressing the Seismic Hazard Challenge

Along with Federica Ferrarini, Nathan Toké, and Michele M. C. Carafa, we are looking forward to submissions to this special "issue" from the Frontiers journal: Unveiling Active Faults: Multiscale Perspectives and Alternative Approaches Addressing the Seismic Hazard Challenge.

Federica made a nice flyer to share: LINK


Central Apennine settled landscape with active normal fault (photograph by Federica Ferrarini).

Despite decades of progress toward mitigating seismic hazard, characterizing the seismic potential of an area remains a complex process. Particularly challenging are seismically active regions characterized by low slip rate faults which can give rise to weak geomorphic expressions when combined with high erosion or sedimentation rates. Similar compounding issues may also manifest in densely populated areas where anthropogenic modifications, or vegetation cover further challenge assessment of fault activity or where structural complications may contribute to multiple interpretations. Noticeable advances in remote sensing technology geodetic measurements and dating Late Quaternary landforms and sediments have moved our understanding forward.

This Frontiers Research Topic welcomes contributions that present examples and approaches which strive to improve our understanding of active faulting processes over diverse geological settings and at broad spatial scales of investigation. We encourage the submission of research papers from a wide range of geoscience disciplines (field geology, structural geology, tectonic geomorphology, paleoseismology, seismology, remote sensing, numerical modeling) and from the scale of a field site to regional scale analyses. We welcome contributions with the main goal to bridge the gap between our observations, fundamental understanding of faulting processes, and effective seismic hazard assessment.

Please think about a contribution! Submit an abstract by January 29, 2020 (not required). The manuscripts are due May 29, 2020.

Saturday, October 5, 2019

(Finally) Getting going with python (and a bit of history)

I certainly recognize the power of scientific programming. Programming spreadsheets is obvious and there is nothing to be ashamed of there (see weeks 2-6 in my Computers in Earth and Space Exploration course). I started off in grad school with Mathemematica and appreciated the notebook style of computations and integrated graphics and text. I also taught myself enough fortran to get the main calculations for my dissertation completed.


Modeling profile development with simple diffusion (Arrowsmith, et al., 1998) using fortran code and Mathematica for the basic graphics.

I took some programming courses (Pascal) back in grad school. I was not very good at it. Once the professor even said "that is the stupidest way I have ever seen for doing that" in office hours. I was not too offended; I barely understood what I was doing. Nevertheless, I got the big picture and have stumbled along ever since.

Professor George Hilley taught me many things. One thing he was able to do after a fair amount of cajoling was to get me to start in MATLAB. The more data-oriented and matrix handling of MATLAB ended being something I could use effectively. We also worked with Don Ragan a lot on MATLAB and Latex. While I am no expert, I have taught the basics to students over the years see weeks 6-9 in my Computers in Earth and Space Exploration course). I cannot say that I have had any really great programming projects, but the various analysis and plotting needs have been satisfied. For what it is worth, I even set up a GitHub page to hold a few things. Dr. Olaf Zielke is a serious MATLAB programmer and wrote some impressive tools with GUIS for his PhD and related work. TopoToolbox is another set of MATLAB-based tools which I had the opportunity to learn and appreciate their transformative power for a lot of geomorphic analyses.

I have been watching the progressive adoption of Python and related tools in my little scientific bubble over the last 5 or so years. I have not had the time to do much as far as learning until recently, however. While my MATLAB expertise won't go away, I have appreciated the fact that it is hard to share and teach with students and colleagues who don't have access to the rather expensive licenses for MATLAB. On the other hand, Python and related tools are open and apparently so adaptable and customizeable.

Recently, I finally had an excuse and the time to get my feet wet with Python. Chris Crosby and I (OpenTopography) helped out with a short course From point clouds and full-waveform data to DEM analysis (Sep-30 to Oct-4 2019) led by Professor Bodo Bookhagen and his team.


Specific catchment area computed with the tools from Rheiwalt, et al., 2019. The basic processing was in Python with some c code and then visualized using Displaz.

Here is some basic full waveform lidar processing from Bookhagen and Rheinwalt again basic procesing in Python and then visualized using Displaz.

I still don't understand all that I am doing, but I got the basic set up and can sort of understand packages and environments. Javier Colunga helped me by getting Ananconda installed. Spyder is the development environment I had been looking for. There is so much that is possible; it is hard to even know where to start.

For my first project, I thought it would be nice to play around with a lidar point cloud (using the Dragon's Back of course): grid it using pdal and then make a hillshade using gdal. Download the data from OpenTopography.

The steps are:

  1. Launch an Ananconda terminal.
  2. Add these conda channels for package install:
    conda config --prepend channels conda-forge/label/dev
    conda config --prepend channels conda-forge
  3. Then define an environment and add the packages using conda: conda create -y -n PC_py3 python=3.6 pip scipy pandas numpy matplotlib scikit-image gdal pdal xarray packaging ipython multiprocess h5py lastools pykdtree spyder gmt=5* (this comes from the workshop).

My first problem was that I could not run pdal from inside a python script. There is something I don't understand there (even though it is installed, etc.). I see that it is possible to call python from inside the pdal json files... But, I can run it from the command line:
> pdal pipeline db.json
where the db.json has the parameters for the simple neighborhood gridding run:


{
        "pipeline":[
        "smallpiece.laz",
        {
                "resolution": 1,
                "radius": 0.707,
                "gdaldriver": "GTiff",
                "gdalopts": "COMPRESS=DEFLATE, ZLEVEL=7, GDAL_NUM_THREADS=ALL CPUS",
                "data_type": "float",
                "output_type": "idw",
                "filename":"small_idw_1m.tif"
        }
        ]
}
I was able to make a little dem (the tif file). But then, I ran the gdal from the command line only:
>gdaldem hillshade small_idw_1m.tif small_idw_1m_shd.tif

Finally, I could run a little python script to draw the hillshaded geotiff (this I could run from Spyder):


#!/usr/bin/env python
import gdal
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

ds = gdal.Open('small_idw_1m_shd.tif').ReadAsArray()

plt.close('all')

plt.imshow(ds, cmap='gray')

f.savefig('smallDB.png', dpi=300)
plt.close('all')


Small piece of the Dragon's Back lidar data (B4 project) gridded with pdal, hillshaded with gdal, and drawn with matplotlib

So, I guess that is a bit of a success, there is a lot more to do and learn!

I keep finding references to help learn:

Monday, September 23, 2019

Many thanks to Petroleum Experts Limited

Petroleum Experts Limited has provided the School of Earth and Space Exploration with licensed software for 2D and 3D kinematic modelling, geomechanical, fracture, and fault response modeling and fault and stress analyses. These licenses are valued at $2.18M and will enable our faculty and students to build and analyze complex 3D fault models to develop understanding of tectonic processes and to anticipate earthquake hazards.

Here is a LINK to our SESE newsletter acknowledging the donation as well

We are really grateful for this donation. The MOVE suite of software is a powerful environment for 3D interpretation. My students and colleagues are using it to build 3D fault models. We hope to begin to work on sedimentary architecture in extensional environments in the coming year. In addition, with continued support of the licensed software, we will develop course material for it for our geology majors.


Example image from Petroleum Experts/MOVE.

Thursday, July 4, 2019

Remembering Donal M. Ragan

Professor Emeritus of Geology Donal M. Ragan passed away in February 2019. Unfortunately, I had lost some contact with him in the last years. However, I was first hired on in 1995 at ASU to take Don's position (from which he had retired) and teach Structural Geology. He was still active, working on his book and so he came by often to talk with me and my students (especially George Hilley). Don and his wife Janne were also kind to have me over for dinner occasionally. They were very generous. This memory of Don is incomplete, but I wanted to capture a few thoughts and recollections.

This is the only picture I could find of Don. He is there on the left (along with Lee Amoroso, Jeri J. Young, and George Hilley) during a field trip to the Carrizo Plain in the late 1990s.

I don't have all of Don's biography. I recall he was born in southern California and maybe went to Occidental College. He was in the Army and talked about the discipline and repetitiveness of learning how to dissassemble and assemble a machine gun. He went to the University of Washington where he worked on deformation in the Twin Sisters Dunite. He was at Imperial College where he worked with John Ramsay. He moved to the University of Alaska (UAF) and published on deformation associated with glacial ice (e.g., Ragan, 1969). He moved to Arizona State University in 1965 at the behest of Prof. T. L. Péwé who had been hired to be chairman and who knew Don from UAF.

We worked a fair bit with Don on MATLAB implementations of his exercises and ideas. A couple are here. And, he was an avid LaTEX user having had problems in the 3rd Edition of the book when he did not have good control over the copy editing and production. He taught us about dashes and quotes.

In 2000, Don taught a series of lectures on Structural Geology. I helped a bit mostly as coordinator and provider of moral support. These reflected the development for the book and all I really have are the handouts and figures for transparencies and a few notes:

Don was outspoken about quantitative approaches in structural geology: "Despite all this effort one can still find in professional articles statements that violate basic laws of physics and in some current textbooks there are important omissions, misstatements, misinterpretations and errors when dealing with structure making processes." (from his review of The Life of Frank Coles Phillips).

I worked with him for a while on the 4th edition of the textbook, but did not contribute enough in time to stay a coauthor. Nevertheless, I learned so much from Don and did what I could to apply those lessons in the GLG310 Structural Geology and the GLG510 Advanced Structural Geology courses. We talked often about how to teach structural geology and how to bring more quantification and precision to it. We followed the developments of the structural geology textbook (FSG) of Professor David Pollard at Stanford. Don and I wrote a short review of an early version of a manuscript on kinematics and mechanics here. Don wrote a blurb for the book: "This is the best book on structural geology in a long time. It is both rooted in classical mechanics and visionary. In their characteristic fashion, Pollard and Fletcher lay out the physical concepts and tools needed to understand the structure-making processes and give many examples of their use. If you have any interest at all in the subject read this book, but be prepared to work. You’ll be glad you did."

M 7.1 - 17km NNE of Ridgecrest, CA (was Accumulating links for: M 6.4 - 12km SW of Searles Valley, CA)

I have prepared a summary presentation on the earthquake sequence. The July 17 versions here here: PDF and PPT. They are comprised of material harvested from publicly accessible sites, so I am hoping it is ok to redistribute in this form; I have provided attribution. Let me know if something needs to be udpated.


And then the the 4th of July event was a foreshock. As I mentioned below, there was a 9% probability from the USGS that the July 4th event would be followed by something larger, and it actually was. I hope that people are ok; will take until the morning to have a better sense of damage and injuries.

I am regularly updating this page, so occasionally refresh.

Tonight's event is clearly part of the same sequence, although this was along the NW-trending section (and was right-lateral). This is an impressive conjugate pattern (right lateral along the NW orientation and left lateral along the NE orientation). Both orientations and senses of motion are consistent with the overall shear zone deformation in the area. It looks to have ruptured across the Highway 178. There are also lots of mass movements in the area (lots of dust kicked up in videos, and also rock falls onto the roads, etc.).

This event was an M6.9 refined from the M7.1 initial estimate. This is a half magnitude unit larger so it was ~10x more energy, hence the broader felt extent (more people in Phoenix and Las Vegas noted it; e.g., my colleagues and my sister...). If you felt (or not) good to fill out a report. This one will certainly be followed by many aftershocks, and there is again a small chance that a larger one could follow. (Omori’s law: ~logarithmic decay in time for event rate (ratio of big to small aftershocks stays the same.) But you can also think of these events close in time and space as epidemics (epidemic type aftershock sequence, most that follow are smaller, but sometimes a bigger one can follow as we have seen). An event of the July 4 size could be an aftershock now...

Locations from http://www.scsn.org/ and the focal mechanism from USGS. Compare this with the similar one below.

ASU recording: http://earthquake.asu.edu/EQplots/ci38457511.pdf; thanks to John West and Ed Garnero

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

A 4th of July earthquake with an impressive conjugate aftershock pattern in the Eastern California Shear Zone.

Locations from http://www.scsn.org/ and the focal mechanism from USGS.

Deferring to USGS/CGS colleagues for the real interpretation, but this looks to be consistent with maybe a primary rupture on one of the trends and then aftershocks climbing up the other. Given the magnitude and length scaling, for the moment, I am going to guess the rupture was on the NE trend and would be left lateral with a few 10s cm cracking (based on image below could be Little Lake Fault zone?). This is also consistent with the conjugate fault pattern mapped in the region (see NW and NE-trending faults on map below).

Update about 2 pm: indeed, decimeter-scale rupture, left lateral, crossing Highway 178. See this tweet. The location is 35.644167, -117.535833--close to where the aftershock trace.

It has a vigorous aftershock sequence which is consistent with expectations. The USGS is employing Operational Earthquake Forecasting to provide probabilistic statements about expected aftershocks in the region.

Locations and active faults from USGS. Fractured Hwy 178 from @neotectonic

It was widely felt in California: USGS DYFI. This is a good reminder about earthquake safety.

Useful links: